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The
real investment magic of rare coins stems from the fact that price
increases from rare coins lag behind those of gold, which takes much
of the guesswork out of investing in rare coins. Over the years,
that lag has provided an early warning signal of impending bull
markets and has produced periodic windfall profits for knowledgeable
investors. Rare coins follow golds lead and, eventually, surpass
gold. Bull markets in rare coins have always occurred during or
after periods of rising gold prices, and reliable independent
reports show that average annual returns on rare coins have
historically been more than twice as great as the returns on gold
bullion.
When gold soared to over $850 in 1980, rare coins went up more than
twice as much, and continued to go up after the price of gold turned
down.
In 1987, when gold started a rally that took it back over $500, rare
coins lagged behind, but then rocketed past gold, with the market
for investment-grade rare coins going up several hundred percent
even as the price of gold fell from $500 to $360.
In 2002, gold started its ascent from an average annual price of
$271 (in 2001) to where it stands today at over $900.00. Again, the
price of rare coins followed in trace, rising steadily from 2003.
However, it has only been in the past few months that rare coins
have showed signs of taking off and, once again, exceeding golds
progress.
A new index, which tracks the performance of Key-Date U.S. coins in
the highest grades, shows that prices in that portion of the rare
coin market increased by 31.9% in 2007. The Index, named the
Classic U.S. Coin Rarities Key-Date Investment Index, is based on
the retail values guide published monthly in Coin Values magazine.
The new Index contains a basket of 76 regular issue U.S. coins, with
one coin, the key-date or rarest from each series, in the highest
traded grade. Gold key-date coins were the top performers, with a
42.5% gain in 2007.
The powerful results for 2007 occurred despite the fact that the
market for Key Dates and Rarities was actually down for the first
half of the year. Since August, this index has provided us with an
early indicator of a raging bull market! |